NFL Week 2 Picks – Sitting Pretty

Before we get into picks this week, let’s go over how badly I slaughtered Vegas last week:

Top Picks: 3-0, +$220
Middle Picks: 3-3, -$30
Upset Picks: 0-2, -$40
Questionable Picks: 3-1, +$20

All picks last week:  9-6, +$170

Not too shabby.  Outside of my top picks, my analysis was pretty terrible – but I also don’t want to spend all day thinking about every matchup.  Let’s get into next week:

Picks of the week

Atlanta (+7) at Tampa Bay
Really?  This line is really 7?  After Tampa Bay lost to the Saints like that on Sunday?  Were the bookmakers watching the same game that I was?  Both of these teams run a ton, is Greise really going to come in and run up the score? 
Atlanta – $100

New Orleans (EVEN) at Washington
Is Washington going to be like last year’s Patriots, except the
opposite, in that they are going to be giving too few points, week
after week?  This line should be -7.  Also, the over/under is 42, I
smell a tease with the under here, because THE SKINS HAVE NO OFFENSE.
New Orleans – $100

Solid Picks

New England (+1.5) at NY Jets
There are 10 other players on the field.
New England – $70

Buffalo (+5.5) at Jacksonville
I think it is reasonable to say that Jacksonville will not run wild on Buffalo.  Again, it is as if nobody watched last week’s games.  This spread should be about +1.
Buffalo – $70

Philadelphia (+7) at Dallas
If this was at +6, it would be a lock of the week. 
Dallas – $70

Middle Picks

NY Giants (-8.5) at St. Louis
I can’t trust that the Rams are THAT bad, and they are at home. 
St. Louis – $30

Tennessee (+1.5) at Cincinnati
Kerry Collins !< Vince Young.
Tennessee – $30

Miami (+6.5) at Arizona
Line seems high, Pennington is a loser, but a player.  He is a “tough win”.
Miami – $30

San Diego (-1) at Denver
Denver at home + San Diego is overrated.  Denver wins outright, has coming out party as the best team in the West.
Denver – $30

Baltimore (+4.5) at Houston
This might be my last week of faith in the Texans.  They really should win this by 6+.
Houston – $30

Crap Picks

Chicago (+3) at Carolina
Carolina offense is going nuts. 
Carolina – $10

Green Bay (-3) at Detroit
Is Detroit really as good as Minnesota, because that what this line tells me.  Maybe, but I’m sticking with the Pack.
Green Bay – $10

Indianapolis (+1.5) at Minnesota
I’d like to think that Indy is much better than the Vikings, but I’m not willing to bet on it.
Indy – $10

Oakland (-3.5) at Kansas City
This game opened at even odds.  It should have stayed that way.  The thought of watching this games makes me throw up a little.
Oakland – $10

Pittsburgh (-6) at Cleveland
It might storm at game time, thus not a solid pick.  Seriously.
Pittsburgh – $10

San Fran (+7) at Seattle
This opened at +9, and is still too high.
San Fran – $10