NFL Week 3 Picks – My Overconfidence Was My Weakness

Got crushed, just crushed last week.

Top Picks: 2-3, -$130
Middle Picks: 2-2, $0
Crap Picks: 4-1, +$30

All picks last week:  8-6, -$100

Season Total: 17-12, +$70

Pick of the Week

Pittsburgh (+3.5) at Philly
3.5 is a magic number, a FG doesn’t win it.  I love the Steelers and I think they may actually play some defense in this game, unlike Dallas against Philly last week.  This is tough test #1 for Pittsburgh on the road to the playoffs.
Pittsburgh – $100

NO (+5.5) at Denver
So the team that gets beat by the Campbell-Moss combo is losing by less than a touchdown to the Cutler-Marshall combo on the road?
Denver – $100

Solid Picks

Jacksonville (+5) at Indy
This is a tough line for this game, but I think Indy blows them out.  Peyton carried that team last week and Jacksonville is much, much worse than most people realize.
Indy – $70

Dallas (+3) at Green Bay
This line opened at even money and I wish I had jumped on it sooner.  This is a make-up game for Dallas from Monday night’s debacle.  Look for their secondary to play with renewed intensity, in an effort to make up for nearly giving away the game to McNabb.
Dallas – $70

Houston (+4.5) at Tennessee
I predict that the announcers at the end of this game will be saying something like: “Do you know who the real winners are?  The people of Houston and Galveston.”
Houston – $70

KC (+5.5) at Atlanta
KC has shown me nothing.  NOTHING!
Atlanta – $50

Cleveland (+2.5) at Baltimore
The slide ends here.
Cleveland – $50

NY Jets (+9) at San Diego
Two forces pushing here – San Diego can’t be 0-3 and Farve can’t lose in front of a big audience.  I think the Jets keep it closer than 9.
Jets – $50

Crap Picks

Oakland (-9.5) at Buffalo
This line scares me off.
Buffalo – $10

Tampa Bay (+3) at Chicago
I have Earnest Graham in fantasy, so I pray.  If you don’t have to, don’t bet on this game!
Tampa – $10

Miami (+12.5) at New England
Coach Sweatpants will run up the score.  Pats D will score.  It will get ugly, but two touchdowns ugly?
New England – $10

Bengals (+13) at NY Giants
Line seems about right.  Let’s call it two touchdowns.
Giants – $10

Arizona (+3) at Washington
Washington isn’t that good… but I said that last week.
Washington – $10

Carolina (+3.5) at Minnesota
Minnesota – $10

Detroit (+4) at San Fran
San Fran – $10

St. Louis (+9.5) at Seattle
St. Louis – $10