NFL Week 4 Picks – Getting Back Up to Speed

Got shelled again last week.  If you are new to NFL gambling, be aware that your most profitable time, the first two weeks of the season, is followed by the most dangerous time, the next 4 weeks of the season.  You have assumptions built on assumptions of the first two weeks get totally shattered in the following weeks.  Case in point for two teams: Popular NFL wisdom right now is that the Texans are pretty bad and the Raven are pretty good.  Due to their Week 2 BYE’s, we really have no idea if either of these are the case – so tread lightly. 

Top Picks: 0-2, -$200
Solid Picks: 2-4, -$120
Crap Picks:  4-4, $0

Week 3 Total: 6-10, -$320

Season Total: 23-22, -$250

Picks of Week

Cleveland (+3.5) at Cincinnati
I have a strong feeling about this one.  Cleveland has so much more to prove and can win the toughness battle.  The Bengals are just godawful.
Cleveland – $100

San Diego (-7.5) at Oakland
This line opened at even odds and has crept up a concerning amount.  Gamblers everywhere are look for the Bolts to put up a big division win on the road.  Let me whisper something to you guys betting big on the Bolts: *San Diego stinks.*
Oakland – $100

Solid Picks

Buffalo (+8) at St. Louis
St. Louis has yet to not disappoint.
Buffalo – $50

San Francisco (+5) at New Orleans
A pass-happy offensive team playing against a team with a mediocre secondary in a dome?  Yes, the 49′ers are for real and they win this one outright.
San Fran – $70

Philadelphia (+3) at Chicago
You are teling me that Chicago is better than Pittsburgh?  Eagles’ D goes nuts.
Philly – $70

Crap Picks

Baltimore (+5.5) at Pittsburgh
Vegas has no appreciation of history.  Two field goals is a big line.
Ravens – $10

Minnesota (+3) at Tennessee
Minnesota (wins outright) – $10

Green Bay (+1) at Tampa Bay
Tampa Bay – $10

Arizona (+1.5) at Jets
Jets – $10

Houston (+7) at Jacksonville
Jacksonville – $10

Denver (+9.5) at KC
Denver – $10

Washington (+11) at Dallas
Dallas – $10

Atlanta (+7) at Carolina
Carolina – $10